Noteby Trevor Houser | June 27, 2012 Over the coming week, Western sanctions on Iranian oil exports formally take effect. Starting tomorrow, any bank processing payment for Iranian crude trade received an exception, and as of Sunday, shipping insurance providers will lose their European-based reinsurance if they continue to cover Iranian oil cargos. This note provides a wrap-up of the oil market impacts of sanctions to date and an outlook for the months ahead.
Noteby Trevor Houser | May 7, 2012 At the UN climate change conference in Copenhagen in 2009, the US committed to cut greenhouse gas emissions 17 percent below 2005 levels by 2020 – a target included in cap-and-trade legislation that had passed the House of Representatives earlier that year. With the death of cap-and-trade in the Senate and the Republican takeover of the House, America’s ability to meet this emission reduction goal has been in doubt. In January of this year, however, US emissions came in 13% below 2005 levels, and power sector emissions were down by more than 17% – achieving the 2020 target eight years early.
Noteby Trevor Houser and Shashank Mohan | March 28, 2012 With US oil demand falling thanks to high prices fuel efficient vehicles and domestic crude and natural gas supply rising thanks to unconventional production, energy analysts have begun speculating that policymakers long-elusive goal of “energy independence” might be within reach. In this note, we provide a roundup of recent government and industry projections and will explore what these various American energy futures mean for the US economy and national security in the weeks and months ahead.
Noteby Trevor Houser | March 20, 2012 Our March 7 analysis of the relationship between gasoline prices and political affiliation elicited considerable feedback and some great questions. So I’ve run some additional numbers and attempt to answer some of the queries we’ve received.
Noteby Trevor Houser | March 7, 2012 With average US gasoline prices approaching $4 per gallon, markets are trying to gauge the impact of high oil costs on a fragile US economic recovery. Some analysts have argued that surging unconventional oil production in North America will make this price spike less harmful than those in the past. But for the political class, it’s not the nation-wide picture that matters as much as what’s happening state-by-state. And it’s here that the domestic oil boom has particularly interesting effects.
Noteby Trevor Houser | February 9, 2012 Washington and Brussels are trying to curb Iranian oil revenue in a bid to convince Tehran to abandon its nuclear weapons program. But it appears financial sanctions imposed by the West are having a more immediate impact on what Iran buys from abroad rather than what it sells. Reports this week suggest Iranian companies are finding it increasingly difficult to import food, raising the specter of a political crisis ahead of the parliamentary elections on March 2nd. Tehran is trying to a get around the issue by bartering food for oil, but a close look at the data suggests this will only be a partial solution at best.
Noteby Trevor Houser and Shashank Mohan | January 17, 2012 As US sanctions against the Central Bank of Iran (CBI) start to bite and the EU hammers out the details of a continent-wide ban on Iranian oil imports, all eyes are on Saudi Arabia and whether the Kingdom will step ...
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