Director
Oliver Melton is a Director with Rhodium Group’s China practice, advising the firm's senior clients and overseeing research on China’s economic policy and political dynamics.
ChinaOliver supervises a research team focused on macroeconomics, trade, industrial policy, subsidies, supply chains, and the broad set of interactions between China and the rest of the world economy.
Prior to joining Rhodium Group, Oliver spent five years as the US Treasury Department Financial Attaché in China, where he advised Treasury leadership and the US ambassador. He was intimately involved in high-level discussions and negotiations on trade frictions, industrial policy, sanctions, and financial regulation.
Prior to his Treasury Department role, Oliver served for nearly a decade as a Senior Analyst with the US Department of State’s Bureau of Intelligence and Research, where he was a leading expert on China’s industrial policies, economic statecraft, macroeconomy, trade policy, and economic decision-making. His policy recommendations and analysis have been influential at the highest levels of the US government, and he has personally briefed cabinet secretaries, national security advisors, and the president of the United States.
Oliver has a bachelor’s degree from the University of Chicago and a master’s degree from Harvard’s Kennedy School of Government.
Note
China dominates manufacturing of intermediate goods that use critical materials as inputs, creating an additional layer of chokepoints, which Beijing is targeting in its most recent export controls—including outside of China.
Note
China's actual 2025 GDP growth fell short of 3%. For domestic demand to lift China above 2% GDP growth in 2026, Beijing must reverse the systemic causes of household and business malaise or pile on costly demand subsidies.
