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Logan Wright

Partner

Logan Wright is a Partner at Rhodium Group and leads the firm’s China Markets Research work.

China

He is also a Senior Associate of the Trustee Chair in Chinese Business and Economics at the Center for Strategic and International Studies. Previously, Logan was head of China research for Medley Global Advisors and a China analyst with Stone & McCarthy Research Associates, both in Beijing.

Logan’s research focuses on China’s financial system and credit conditions in shaping outcomes within China’s economy, as well as the policies of China’s central bank. He is the author of the forthcoming book Broken China: How the Economic Miracle Shattered and What it Means for the World, as well as three reports on China’s financial system and the country’s longer-term economic trajectory: Credit and Credibility (2018), The China Economic Risk Matrix (2020), and Grasping Shadows (2023).

Logan holds a Ph.D. from the George Washington University, where his dissertation concerned the political factors shaping the reform of China’s exchange rate regime. He graduated with a Master’s degree in Security Studies and a Bachelor’s degree in Foreign Service from Georgetown University. He is a member of the Council on Foreign Relations. He is based in Washington, DC, after living and working in Beijing and Hong Kong for over two decades.

Note

China’s Financial and Fiscal Decay

China’s financial and fiscal systems are increasingly inefficient tools to maintain domestic economic growth, making China’s economy far more dependent upon exports in 2026 than in previous years.

Report

If China Attacks Taiwan

In a report with the German Marshall Fund, we analyze the potential consequences for China of “Minor Conflict” and “Major War” scenarios.

Note

China’s Economy: Rightsizing 2025, Looking Ahead to 2026

China's actual 2025 GDP growth fell short of 3%. For domestic demand to lift China above 2% GDP growth in 2026, Beijing must reverse the systemic causes of household and business malaise or pile on costly demand subsidies.