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The China Economic Risk Matrix: Pinpointing the Dangers in China’s Financial System



When: Tuesday, Sept 22 at 9am EDT


Despite rising inefficiency, China’s financial system has served as the shock absorber that has helped China’s economy recover from the virus outbreak and maintain growth. But the same elements that have driven China’s recovery have also pushed China’s financial system deep into a gauntlet of systemic financial risks. The China Economic Risk Matrix is the combination of indicators of financial vulnerability that threaten to overwhelm Beijing’s policy tools to manage them, along with a novel, China-specific financial stress indicator. Building on the earlier CSIS volume, Credit and Credibility, this report explores the specific conditions and markets in which changes in government credibility can have a significant impact on systemic stability in China.

For a presentation of the report’s key findings, join Daniel Rosen, Rhodium Group founding partner and CSIS non-resident senior associate, Logan Wright, director at Rhodium Group and CSIS non-resident adjunct fellow, and Lauren Gloudeman, associate director of the China Projects team at Rhodium Group.

Following the presentation, Ann Rutledge of CreditSpectrum, Kenneth Kang of the IMF, and Michael Taylor of Moody’s Investors Service will provide commentary, moderated by Trustee Chair Scott Kennedy. The event will conclude with live Q&A with the audience.

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