Report
Rhodium Climate Outlook: Probabilistic Projections of Energy, Emissions, and Global Temperature Rise
We provide probabilistic projections of the likely evolution of global emissions and temperature rise through the end of the century.
Research Analyst
Shweta Movalia is a Research Analyst in Rhodium's Energy & Climate practice, focusing on global energy systems modelling, international policy research, and low-carbon transportation.
Energy & ClimatePrior to joining Rhodium Group, Shweta worked as an Implementation Specialist at Climate Analytics, providing technical assistance to Caribbean countries for their 2020 Nationally Determined Contributions (NDC) enhancements through energy modeling and policy analysis. She graduated from Boston University with a Master’s degree in Energy & Environment. She also holds a Master’s degree in Water Policy and Governance from Tata Institute of Social Sciences and a Bachelor’s degree in Geography from Miranda House, University of Delhi.
Report
We provide probabilistic projections of the likely evolution of global emissions and temperature rise through the end of the century.
Note
Efforts to mitigate emissions have largely focused on CO2. We assess the gap around non-CO2 emissions, in particular methane.
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Our preliminary estimates for global greenhouse gas emissions in 2022 show a 1.1% increase from 2021, rebounding back above pre-pandemic emissions levels.
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The IRA includes significant incentives for emerging climate technologies. Using a new modeling framework, we assess the long-term global emissions impact of these incentives.