Associate Director
Matthew Mingey is an Associate Director with Rhodium Group, focusing on China’s economic diplomacy and outward investment, including development finance.
ChinaMatthew is based in Washington, DC. Previously, he worked on global governance issues at the World Bank. Matthew received a Master’s degree in Global Business and Finance from Georgetown University’s Walsh School of Foreign Service and a Bachelor’s degree from the University of Pennsylvania.
Note
By our estimates, China’s GDP growth in 2024 improved modestly to around 2.4% to 2.8%, well below target. If it stimulates domestic demand with some urgency and ramps up debt, we think China could get to 3-4.5% growth in 2025.
Report
We examine three G20 case countries—Brazil, South Korea, and Indonesia—and their likely responses to both US and Chinese economic statecraft in an escalation of tensions over Taiwan.
Report
Compared to its own 2010 baseline, China has improved. However, further progress has been elusive, and our indicators suggest China has hit limits on convergence with the OECD. This gap will likely remain in the coming years.
Note
The Third Plenum included laudable goals that would align with market norms under the Pathfinder framework. But with few exceptions, the decisions do not answer how these goals will be accomplished.
