Report
Avoiding Entanglement: G20 Responses in a Taiwan Crisis
We examine three G20 case countries—Brazil, South Korea, and Indonesia—and their likely responses to both US and Chinese economic statecraft in an escalation of tensions over Taiwan.
Associate Director
Matthew Mingey is an Associate Director with Rhodium Group, focusing on China’s economic diplomacy and outward investment, including development finance.
ChinaMatthew is based in Washington, DC. Previously, he worked on global governance issues at the World Bank. Matthew received a Master’s degree in Global Business and Finance from Georgetown University’s Walsh School of Foreign Service and a Bachelor’s degree from the University of Pennsylvania.
Report
We examine three G20 case countries—Brazil, South Korea, and Indonesia—and their likely responses to both US and Chinese economic statecraft in an escalation of tensions over Taiwan.
Report
Compared to its own 2010 baseline, China has improved. However, further progress has been elusive, and our indicators suggest China has hit limits on convergence with the OECD. This gap will likely remain in the coming years.
Note
The Third Plenum included laudable goals that would align with market norms under the Pathfinder framework. But with few exceptions, the decisions do not answer how these goals will be accomplished.
Note
The key question from the Third Plenum is whether Beijing can credibly and coherently message its reform priorities to change China’s economic trajectory in the near future. Resetting expectations is vitally important, but meeting them is harder.