Report
Taking Stock 2026: US Energy and Emissions Outlook
We find that the US is on track to reduce GHG emissions by 27-41% below 2005 levels in 2040, considering all relevant federal and state policies on the books as of June 2026.
Research
Rhodium Group’s Energy & Climate practice uses a multidisciplinary, data-driven approach to produce unique, independent insights into global energy dynamics, greenhouse gas emissions, and climate change.
We help public and private decision-makers understand what kind of climate future we are on track for, and what matters most for reducing greenhouse gas emissions—at the local, state, national, and international levels. By combining policy expertise with a suite of detailed energy-economic models, our research provides data-driven insights into the impacts of energy and climate change policy and real-world developments on greenhouse gas emissions, energy markets, economic output, and clean technology pathways.
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Showing 1 – 10 of 57 total results
Note
Preliminary US Greenhouse Gas Emissions Estimates for 2025
Based on preliminary economic and energy activity data, we estimate that in 2025, US greenhouse gas emissions increased by 2.4%, marking a change from the prior two years of decreases in emissions.
Note
Global Greenhouse Gas Emissions: 1990-2023 and Preliminary 2024 Estimates
We find that global greenhouse gas emissions reached a new historical high in 2024, increasing 0.9% from the previous year.
Report
Rhodium Climate Outlook 2025: Probabilistic Global Emissions and Energy Baseline Projections
We provide probabilistic projections of the likely evolution of greenhouse gas emissions and associated temperature rise through the end of the century, and insights into what will matter most for decarbonization in the coming decades.
Report
Taking Stock 2025: US Energy and Emissions Outlook
We find the US is on track to reduce GHG emissions by 26-41% in 2040 relative to 2005 levels. On the way to 2040, we estimate GHG emissions levels will decline 26-35% in 2035.
Note
What Passage of the “One Big Beautiful Bill” Means for US Energy and the Economy
We estimate the fiscal year 2025 budget reconciliation legislation will increase national average household energy bills by $78-192 and increase total industrial energy expenditures by $7-11 billion in 2035.
Note
Assessing the Greenhouse Gas Emissions of the US Petrochemical Industry
One key driver of sustained industrial emissions is the growth of emissions associated with petrochemical manufacturing in the US, which we estimate could rise by 6-32% by 2030 over today's levels.
Note
Preliminary US Greenhouse Gas Emissions Estimates for 2024
Since peaking in 2004, US emissions have trended downward in a bumpy fashion. But after a significant decline in 2023, we estimate that 2024 emissions were down by just 0.2% year-on-year while the economy grew by 2.7%.
Journal article
Impacts of EPA’s Finalized Power Plant Greenhouse Gas Standards | Science
In an article published in Science, Rhodium Group and 11 other organizations provide a multi-model comparison of the greenhouse gas emissions impacts of the EPA’s May 2024 standards for regulating greenhouse gases from power plants.
Note
Global Greenhouse Gas Emissions: 1990-2022 and Preliminary 2023 Estimates
We estimate that global GHG emissions rose in 2023 by 1.2% over the previous year, reaching 51.8 gigatons of CO2-equivalent on net. This follows a 1.0% increase in 2022 as countries recovered from the COVID-19 pandemic disruptions of 2020.
